Tool 05

Wishlist estimator

A rough but honest forecast. Launch-week sales typically land between 5% and 20% of wishlists at launch.

12%
8%
Launch week forecast
At your discounted price of $0 (set on the Pricing page)
Wishlist sales-
+ Non-wishlist sales (est. 50% extra)-
Total units-
Gross revenue-
After refunds and Steam's 30%-
Conservative · 5%
-
net, launch week
Your scenario
-
net, launch week
Optimistic · 20%
-
net, launch week
Rules of thumb from publicly shared indie launch data. Conversion varies hugely with price, genre, reviews and wishlist age. Treat as a sanity check, not a promise. Around 10,000 wishlists is the rough threshold for Popular Upcoming visibility.